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State of The Nets: We Need To Stay Put

Every once in a while, I will take a look at the Nets organization and give you my opinions on where we are and what I think we should do.  This is called State of The Nets.

I know coming in that this isn’t going to be a popular post.  Reading the comments here, in forums, and on other Nets blogs I get the feeling that most Nets fans aren’t happy with the direction we are taking.  I disagree with these fans’ feelings.

Aging middle of the road teams have a tough decision to make.  Do you stay put, happy with making the playoffs as a bottom seed every year?  Do you try to add the missing piece and make a run?  Or do you get younger, retool, and overhaul your roster?  For years after making our back-to-back NBA finals run, we kept trying to add the missing piece to our big three, while not really concentrating on the draft.  The New Jersey Nets kept making the playoffs, but they never added that ONE player that put them over the top.

Realizing that this aging core (Richard Jefferson, Jason Kidd, and Vince Carter) wouldn’t get them to the ultimate prize, Kiki and Rod Thorn decided to blow everything up (slowly over 2 seasons) and rebuild.  In my eyes, the rebuilding process is broken down into two parts.  First you develop a core of young players.  Once you develop that core, you build on top of it and add missing pieces.  Despite what people may think, the Nets didn’t start rebuilding last season.  The Nets rebuilding process began on February 19, 2008 when the Nets traded Jason Kidd for Devin Harris and a couple first round picks.  Next on draft night 2008, the Nets traded away Richard Jefferson for Yi (a lottery pick the previous season), in addition to drafting three solid rookies in Brook Lopez, Ryan Anderson (now with the Magic), and CDR.  Then this offseason the Nets made another big draft-day trade shipping away Vince Carter (as well as Ryan Anderson) for Courtney Lee and expiring contracts.  Sure, we could have kept Vince Carter for next season and add a 4 and took a run at the playoffs, but with a great offer on the table (I think in a few years we will be praising the front office for this trade – I also think that Rod was looking to shop Vince Carter all season and was waiting for the perfect deal.  I mean look at the Grizzlies who ended up giving their superstar away for nothing…I am rambling now) and the team already in rebuilding mode, why give up the chance to get younger?  Then the Nets drafted Terrence Williams to complete their young core.

I need to stop and digress real quick.  A word that I hear from Nets fans almost daily is cheap citing every move we make as a salary dump.  However, if you stop and think about it, this naturally happens when you rebuild (I am talking strictly on the court – there is no excuse for what is happening on the court).  Seriously, think about it.  When you get younger, you are acquiring players who are usually still playing on their rookie contracts while dumping veteran players and their (more often than not) bloated contracts.  Anyway, back to rebuilding…

Remember my easy two-step method to rebuilding.  After you get the young core, you need to add a piece here or there to get your team back in the playoff hunt.  This is the most important step in my opinon.  What better year to attempt to add pieces to your roster via free-agency than 2010, especially when you are flush with cash?  I am not even talking about the big three right now, even if we can’t land one of those guys, there are a ton of solid free agents coming out in that class.  So when we hear about trading for Carlos Boozer (or going after Big Baby – to a much lesser degree) I cringe.  Why give up our perfect opportunity to complete the rebuilding process?

Rebuilding is a lengthy process.  It usually takes teams a few years of drafting to develop a young core comparable to the core that we have here in New Jersey.  Memphis has been rebuilding longer than us, and it seems like they just now have developed a young core.  However, this next step is key.  Let us look again at the Bulls.  They had one of the best young cores (and I think they still do) in recent memory, but they still can’t find that one piece to put them over the top.  They tried signing Ben Wallace, but that didn’t work.  They traded for guys like John Salmons, Drew Gooden, and Brad Miller but they still seem to missing that one guy.  The Hawks are a team that did it right.  They added guys like Mike Bibby, Joe Johnson, and Zaza Pachulia to young players like Josh Smith, Al Horford, and Marvin Williams and now they are one of the better teams in the East.

I guess what I am saying is that despite the bleek outlook for the upcoming season, we need to stay the course.  We are right on track (perhaps even ahead of schedule) to get this team back to the playoffs.  I think most Nets fans see us saving money for 2010 and think “We are not going to land LeBron James, Chris Bosh, or Dwyane Wade so what is the point?”  I am not saying it wouldn’t be great to have one of those guys, but I would be just as happy adding two guys like Dirk and Andrei Kirilenko (both are free agents next year).  All teams face the point where they need to decide to rebuild or not.  The Nets realized that they needed to do, and they are well on their way to being competitive relatively soon.

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I agree with you 100%. I do not see all our moves as simply salary dumps. Trading Kidd was practically no choice, RJ for Yi was a gamble, sure, and like you said, people forget Yi was a 6th pick, he does have that potential we saw just prior to him breaking his finger. I broke my pinky and believe me the shot does not come back automatically (mine never did). I'm sure he's been working on it all summer. Hated to see Vince go, but, as I was watching the NBA finals last year, I thought, and have previously written, how Vince really would have helped the Magic. Really hope he and Dwight win the title next year.

Hard to predict how the season will go, we could be horrible, or we could be a bit of a surprise and be not so bad. Now, I like the young talent we have now. Love Brook, Devin can be a dominant PG in the Eastern Conference, Lee has a tremendous upside, I was truly happy the Nets drafted Terrence Williams, and Jarvis Hayes may be the most important player on the team. There are three main questions; first can Devin really lead a team? Dirk was the team leader in Dallas and Vince was our leader last year, so this will really be a different role for him. Second, how differently will teams play Harris and Lopez without Vince Carter to worry about and, full disclosure, I'm no fan of Lawrence Frank, how will Coach Frank and the team adjust to that and how will he develop Terrence Williams? Will he let him play and develop or will there be stretches where Williams doesn't see the floor at all the way Frank screwed up with Ryan Anderson last year?

I see the Nets being somewhat of a surprise team, and if Lawrence Frank doesn't screw it up, they'll be exciting to watch, something like the Blazers were two seasons ago with all their young talent. Oh, and I wouldn't mind seeing Glen Davis in a Nets uniform. I was pulling for the Nets to draft him although even I did not see him as a 1st rounder then. The Nets drafted Sean Williams. Compare those stats.

i think that the Nets should totally go after Warrick. give some of the mid level exception for one year and see what he can do beside lopez and harris. i think he can be a really good player running the fast break with cdr,twill,c lee,devin and also help brook with the rebounding. hes also only 27 like hayes who kiki really likes so he can help them right now be competitive and maybe in the future if he does well. so forget about big baby hes as much overrated as leon is underrated

I agree Ike Diogu will emerge, but not into an all star. He can probably score 10-15 points per game & would be a good addition to the inside game with Lopez. I think the Jefferson deal was trash, Bobby Simmons is alright, but I personally do think Yi has not much potential. After the injury, Yi was never the same. His shot is off from the outside and he can't post up. Sorry, Nets fans but he isn't the second coming of Yao Ming. Other free agents I saw available this year are Hakim Warrick, Leon Powe and Drew Gooden. They're not all stars but the Nets have a small payroll. Drew is a veteran who is an average, all-around player. Hakim Warrick looks like he could be a good second or third fiddle to Devin Harris/Brook Lopez. Leon Powe is unfortunately underrated, but what can you say playing behind the Big Ticket and the Big Baby? Thank you.

Nets have a gaping hole where the power bigs are supposed to be.

I'd like to see Ike Diogu on the team next season. Given that he can be signed at or near the minimum, I see no downside.

Let's look at the other Guys-with-Size still floating around. By and large they fit either or both of two classes:
1. Too old -- Lorenzen Wright, Juwan Howard, Mikki Moore, Brian Skinner, Jarron Collins; and
2. Too limited -- Robert Swift, Shav Randolph, Ced Simmons, Johan Petro, Shelden Williams.

There aren't many others left. The most promising of that number is Glen Davis. I'm not a Baby fan, as I may have mentioned. Overpriced. Overweight. Weak rebounder for his size/position. Crap from the line, and on and on.

Neither Davis nor Diogu has reached his ceiling yet, and exactly how good they can be remainst unknown. We do know this, though: Diogu outperforms Davis -- often by a great margin -- in every statistical measure I can find save for Steals% (small disparity) and Assist% (great disparity).

As for assist%, past performance suggests Diogu's '08/'09 season was aberrant, but in any case would be slightly lower than GD's. Davis is also 2.5 years younger.

My argument in favor of Diogu might pass the smell test even if they commanded equal compensation. But at 1/6th the cost, I don't know how the Nets couldn't consider taking a flyer on Ike.

Thank you, and good night.

I admire your optimism but you are forgetting one single fact...

Who owns this franchise, yeah, Ratman, cheapest owner of the universe....

We would be the only team with 25 mil$ roster next year, that would be our only achievement....

And we are not all that down with Thorn moves, Devin Harris and 2 1st for JKidd was masterful, Yi for RJ was Ok(I still think Yi has potential) but Courtney Lee for VC and Ryan Anderson was one of the worst salary dumps of the history....

The problem with the Hawks, though, is that I can be relatively certain that they're never going to win a championship with this core. Their best player (JJ) has more or less reached his peak, and their second best player (Smith) is a bit of knucklehead and not really a go-to-guy.

You have to draft a legit superstar in this league in order to contend for the championship (see for example Howard in Orlando, Roy in Portland, and likely Durant in OKC). So I don't have a problem with where we're at right now, but Thorn needs to make sure the next draft or two absolutely counts.

Well if you'd notice, most good teams don't use good young players as building blocks. They use them as trade bait. I don't think we wanna rely on free agents to add to our young core, but instead go like Boston and LA (and I know those were total giveaways, but giveaways can be had with the right contacts or if the team is determined enough to save money... like us... oh. right)

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