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The “Yi Effect” and Chris Douglas-Roberts

Last week, when asked about his the recent decline of his offensive production, Chris Douglas-Roberts cryptically talked about how he was playing within “the system.” What system is CDR talking about? One theory is the “system” in question is the one designed by coach Kiki Vandeweghe that seemingly favors Yi Jianlian anchoring the offense.

This is fact. Of the six primary rotational players used by the Nets – Yi, Brook Lopez, Devin Harris, Courtney Lee, CDR and Keyon Dooling – Yi Jianlian is leading the team in field goal attempts with 14.09 per game since he returned from injury in December. So clearly, these field goal attempts are coming at the expense of somebody else’s shots. Earlier this month, we looked at Yi’s affect on Brook Lopez, but with CDR’s recent talk of the “system,” we thought it was better to look at all six players to determine who’s shot total has been hindered the most by a Yi-centric offense.

For this analysis, we’ve broken the season into two parts, from 11/21/09 to 12/19/09 – the period where Devin Harris returned after missing three weeks with a groin injury, and then 12/23/09 to present, when Yi returned from his knee injury. Looking at shot selection before 11/21 would be futile, because the Nets were so decimated by injuries, so many players who otherwise would be buried on the end of the bench were getting playing time, skewing the overall numbers.

Also consider during these periods, CDR missed a few games with assorted injuries, and Courtney Lee was buried on Lawrence Frank’s bench until he was fired and replaced with Kiki.

Here’s the tally:

shots

The dropoff for Douglas-Roberts is astounding. He went from being the team’s leading shot taker pre-Yi, to the lowest in the starting lineup and has, by far, the highest differential of these six players. To put that in better perspective, Dooling, in just 18 minutes of playing time per game is only getting two fewer field goal attempts per game than CDR, who averages about 35 minutes of PT per game.

So what’s the solution? CDR is a scorer who’s currently not getting the chance to score. Also consider that Douglas-Roberts has been playing out of position at SF since the start of the season. Before the season began, Sebastian provided a great analysis looking at CDR and Lee to determine who should be the starting SG for the Nets. Quoth Sebastian:

This is a question that doesn’t get asked a lot, but it is an important one. I honestly think that CDR is the better 6th man out of the group, mainly because of his ability to score in bunches.  Plus when he is the 6th man playing with the second unit, he is going to be the go-to scorer (think about it – Alston/T-Will/CDR/Battie/Boone) and because of that we avoid one of the issues we talked about earlier (CDR thinking too much) and that makes CDR a better player. I can honestly say that if CDR starts the season as the 6th man, he is a top 5 candidate for 6th man of the year.

Given the current state of the Nets roster, the fact that they’re 3-36, and the fact that he’s simply not getting opportunities to score in the starting lineup, I think it’s now time for Kiki to name CDR his 6th man. Bring CDR and Dooling off the bench with Kris Humphries and you have guys who can score in bunches three different ways. Use Trenton Hassell in the starting lineup and you at least have a defensive-minded guy who has the body and the bulk to match-up better at the position. It will also give the starting rotation more focus on the offensive end, instead of having five guys who are constantly looking for “their shots.”

When NAS the beat writers first pegged CDR for the bench before the season started, he used  Twitter to carp about people “not believing in him.” This isn’t a question of belief in a player. This is about putting a specific player with a unique skillet in a position to succeed. It’s also about helping the team overall. And at 3-36, the Nets need all the help they can get.

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Another issue in two articles they were syaing today that Devin hadn't trying to score like last year and that he'd banged up and was finally getting healthy. Kiki and Devin and the beat writers implied he might start getting back to his form from last year now. Yi's emergence is great and all but if Devin does start playing like last year he is the best player on the team and needs to get his shot attempts.

Good point about CDR coming off the bench. I agreed with u guys in the beginning of the season about this mostly because the second unit just has no playmakers, no one who can got make a shot for themselves when they need it. Let Devin and Brook facilitate shots for guys who actually can't get those open looks by themselves (like Hassell). If CDR makes a stink about coming off the bench then maybe he's not the type of player the nets should want. The 6th man role has become such a huge commodity in the game today that it should not be looked to as a demotion. Guys like Ginobli, Gordon, Odom, Terry have made the 6th man a marquee role. It doesn't matter who starts the game in today's NBA it's who ends the game that matters

Benchin CDR is not the answer.
Getting a real coach is the answer.
What about CLee's ineptitude?
Lee gets lost on offense, actually disapears on offense.
CDR worked his butt off the earn a starting spot.
Lee didn't. He cried about going to NJ.
So why should Lee be rewarded with a starting spot?
For the same reason Yi gets a starting spot.
They are KiKis pets.
KiKi has to make these 2 players look good, so the trades he made look successfull.
The offense changed when Yi came back.
That's the #1 reason for this teams failures.
When Yi was out, Boone was getting open looks.
When Yi came back for the Knicks game he made the open shot Boone couldn't.
But KiKi changed the offense right after that game.
Instead of using the plays that were almost working with Yi replacing Boone, KiKi changed the whole offense to go to Yi.
So now this young team has to change offenses for the 3rd time!
KiKi is not worried about winning.
I appreciate your analysis and hard work but why penalize a player that worked his butt off and reward the player that is regressing (Lee)
Remember last year in Orl.
Lee was on the bench until pietrus got hurt.
Lee became a starter because he didn't need to score, just play D
CDR was an all american on a Final Four team!
Who deserves to grab some pine?
Courtney Lee
NUFF SAID!

CDR's been pretty good this season out of position which is why he might not like going to the bench. Of course juse because he's a better scorer/ probably player doesn't mean he should start. While he's earned it if the shots aren't in the starting line up for CDR maybe he should move to the bench and keep C Lee starting. Let see what team do something likes this, well Dalas + Jason Terry and Denver with JR Smith are to imeadiate examples of guys that can score 20 a game coming of the bench and both these teams put good defenders in their place not sure who either team are starting at the two now because both of the player they used last season have left but both teams do this. Results? Jason Terry won sixth man of the year JR Smith was a finalist. SA also do with this with Manu a lot I beleive and I'm sure plenty of other teams to as well. Another advantage of CDR moving to the bench is that he goes back to his real position the 2 and when he's being guarded by 2's his style and lanky frame will be a nightmare for a lot of defenders.

As for putting Hassell in the lineup not a terible idea esp as he can be sort of effective early in game in offense but while the shots may not be there neither is the shooting threat to stretch the defense, so another alternative would be to start Jarvis Hayes as was the small the original plan, he an ok defender and can actually shoot the ball so he's might be a good fit in the lineup even if he doesn't get a lot of attempts.

Personally I think CDR could also start at 2 and move C Lee to the bench. Again CDR will have an easier time scoring at his proper position. And they make sure they both enough minutes by moving CDR to the 3 and playing C lee at the 2 when Yi is out of the game and theres enough shots to go around. (That way C Lee wouldn't just be only the floor when CDR was on teh bench.

Regardless of whether CDR starts or not I think right now he should move to the two and the best option to start at SF is Jarvis Hayes since he can shoot and his actually a small forward. I dunno about Lee anymore I liked the idea of him starting with CDR at the start of the season but he's been pretty bad most of the time so not sure if he deserves to start any longer.

I personally think that CDR is underated from playing out of position. I prefer him starting at 2 with CLee of bench, simply because CDR can score against starting talent, CLee can't but could dominate benchers. Put twill at 3 when matchups work and run a fast break offense so everyone gets shot attempts and Yi/BLo get better looks at offensive boards and putbacks. When FB gets stopped have Yi stop at key for open kickout. Guys need shots, shots increase energy, confidence and belief in system. We have the opposite because we use our 7-footers as "post players", and they're not good at it so it ends up a bad shot or turnover. They make it easy for teams to go huge runs.

This team's greatest need is still coaching. I like Kiki as GM and believe he's a better judge of talent than Thorn. The lack of good coaching has really hurt this team ever since Byron was fired. That's what Kiki meant when he said they need a guy who knows X's and O's. Please sedate me until that happens because my eyes hurt watching this squad under-perform.

I don't know if CDR's ego can take it initially. He is not gonna like that suggestion even though it's probably the correct one

Trackbacks

  1. [...] The English: On the surface, it looks like Yi Jianlian is having a breakout season, but Mark Ginocchio takes a deeper look into the “Yi Effect” and his negative impact on the play of the other Nets. [Nets Are Scorching] [...]

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